Another good point. https://twitter.com/sijank524/status/1248123379762298881?s=21 …https://twitter.com/sijank524/status/1248123379762298881 …
Add an MLM attribution logic. Wuhan gets a fraction of the case count of all 1-degree removed air linked cities, regardless of country they’re in. Recursively back from newest hubs. Many big cities are better connected to international trading partners than national hinterland.
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Idea for a graph theory project: use the flight connectivity data and dates of travel restrictions to construct city-clusters that should be treated as “Covid19 nations”
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I'm not sure what you are after, but what you describe is essentially getting at WHEN "seeds" get distributed across cities. But the real action is after that, as each seed then spreads out. That's more about local customs and degree of mixing (eg lots of public transit vs cars).
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Kissing cheeks is going to do more than handshakes. Being in a (packed?) train for an hour with new strangers every day is worse than cars. Going to a megachurch is worse than a small church with same people every time. ...
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