This might sound like elliptical apologia for China at a time when Trump is going his usual crude demonizing to create convenient enemies. That’s not my intent.
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China can and should be held to account for its role here. So should the WHO for their failures. But by credible people carefully considering what happened. Not by the kangaroo court if Trumpist opinion.
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Between global scrutiny and China’s own tendency towards acting out of national face-saving, proximal causes like wild animal interfaces will likely get fixed. WHO will probably see some reform. That’s band-aid stuff for the global order.
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But deeper root-cause fixes will come from a deeper intellectual understanding of how waves of globalization happen, what the costs are, how they are paid. These things take time. We’re still not done litigating the costs of the rise of the US a century ago.
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China now joins an elite club of superpowers by virtue of being attributed responsibility for a Big Bad thing. Sinification will join Americanization as a decidedly mixed blessing spreading across the world. We’ll be in this story for a long time. Settle in.
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Reflecting on this stuff is giving me a deeper appreciation of what cosmopolitanism actually is. It’s not jetsetting or invites to Davos or crap like that. It’s about discovering a real humanism by discovering all the real humans. Not armchair values.
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I last wrote about this in 2016. My cartoon was a Zoom screen! Still an unrepentant globalist, and will be one even if none of us leave our homes again ever. You can take the globalist out of the world, but not the world out of the globalist.https://breakingsmart.substack.com/p/cosmopolitanism-its-a-beautiful-thing …
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Venkatesh Rao Retweeted ∆dish
I am possibly wrong on the specific example of Cholera, though I’m skeptical of any definitive theories of historical cases. We just don’t have enough of a historical record.https://twitter.com/adish_war/status/1247766675295850496?s=21 …
Venkatesh Rao added,
∆dish @CodeOfVasukiReplying to @vgrThe claim that no pandemics have started in India is true. The Cholera pandemic of 1817 didn't start in India but was carried to India via European troops posted in Calcutta. Have a look at this thread: https://twitter.com/TIinExile/status/1243503322704871425?s=20 …2 replies 0 retweets 5 likesShow this thread -
The general parsimonious position I’ll defend is that it is statistics highly unlikely that large populations with a long history have miraculously never produced a pandemic. Every sufficiently populated region has probably produced a few.
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Replying to @vgr
That's a fair assumption. But it is only correct to assume that a widespread pandemic never occurred in India (or another place) until proven otherwise with historical records. After all, pandemics are serious situations and almost always mentioned in historical records.
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Don’t agree with this or with the theory in the thread you quoted, but won’t argue. We have philosophically different approaches to epistemic doubt and skepticism regarding historical questions. These can’t be resolved by arguing about history.
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