Conversation

Yeah, I try 😆 The trick to avoiding temptation of “expert on X since Tuesday” aka sudden Dunning-Kruger false confidence is to put in and look for “proof of attention” being paid to LIVE events and new info. Your priors are only as good as the live data they help make sense of.
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One way to know if someone is work listening to, whether or not you agree, is whether they do like @vgr does below - not act like an expert when they're not. twitter.com/vgr/status/124…
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2 immediate bozobits: a) uncritically boosting every trending bit of new information b) pure derp, where clearly no new information sinks in, everything just bounces off reiterated priors Too many people confuse vindication of resentments for situation awareness.
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Just because events vaguely rhyme with your beliefs or vaguely harmonize with your prognostications doesn’t mean you saw things coming or have made sense of what’s going on.
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Replying to and
Well, until you show in 10y that you’re the Bezos of the hyperbitcoinization who architected an empire on that as an invariance thesis, I’ll be filing you under Yet Another Maximalist Eating Beef 😆. Sorry but there’s just too many of you echoing each other.
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. 10 years Until recently, I would not have thought that I would play any role in hyperbitcoinization, but now I think a path might emerge that ought to be taken. There are few enough maximalists, that I may find myself in a fairly unique position in ~5 years.
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