Yeah, I try
The trick to avoiding temptation of “expert on X since Tuesday” aka sudden Dunning-Kruger false confidence is to put in and look for “proof of attention” being paid to LIVE events and new info. Your priors are only as good as the live data they help make sense of.https://twitter.com/mrgunn/status/1246867162955800576 …
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invariants exist
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Bezos' "what will be the same in 10 years" might get harder as the weirdness dial goes brrr, but it doesn't disappear.
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why I oughta...
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Portfolio returns or prediction market success, a good measure
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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