Uh huh
Conversation
I don’t think you did, or you’d be in a much stronger position than your tweets suggest. It’s one thing to vaguely expect the apocalypse. It’s another thing to call it precisely enough to profit. If you didn’t pull that off, you were just as surprised as anyone.
1
1
Replying to
I didn't mean to suggest I predicted the pandemic, but my response throughout has been stoic.
I just meant that the money printing to me looks like business as usual, and it is now more apparent to everyone. My approach has remained constant: make money while bitcoin is cheap.
2
Ie you’re an expert on composites, who bought some cheap bitcoin and eats a lot of beef. Your “endgame” thoughts are on par with anyone else’s since coiner status is irrelevant. FWIW I do hold some crypto bought cheap. I don’t see it as relevant to my prognostications right now.
1
1
Replying to
Perhaps endgame was the wrong word. I meant the eventuality of hyperbitcoinization. If we are talking about taking action in the prediction of extreme events, I will have done so.
Having crypto != holding as a bitcoin maximalist.
(I consider any price under $1m very cheap)
1
I do not see observations surrounding bitcoin as building off of any expertise, but direct observation of the natural world.
Some people simply have the right notches to reduce the steps needed to make those observations and become maximalists. I wouldn't call that expertise.
2
That is what I’m reacting to. It is a wildly wrong word to use here. Hyperbotcoinization is a thesis YOU subscribe to, not the only possible one it’s possible to fit to events. If you don’t show awareness of that, I discount your views accordingly.
Quote Tweet
2 ways to measure the success or failure of a systemic outcome
a) how well/poorly it approximates the theoretical outcome of a model system you believe in
b) how well/poorly it serves people who exist and must live with the outcome
Show this thread
1
Replying to
Here is what I will admit to: it's possible I am naively optimistic.
I see hyperbitcoinization not just as incredibly likely, but the best possible outcome by a long shot, which makes me biased.

