Conversation

Poll: What’s your planning horizon for pandemic-mode to be “over” and post-corona era to begin? (vote on the qualitative events, numbers are just my anchoring estimates of when those might be, and note that for option 4, restabilization is not the same as recovery)
  • Mitigation easing/3 mo
    31.7%
  • 1 more full flu season/1y
    22.1%
  • Likely vaccine/18 mo
    29.9%
  • Economy restabilized/3y
    16.3%
344 votesFinal results
Replying to
Until there is a vaccine or it is otherwise brought under complete control, I cannot plan clearly into the future beyond. That's what I understand as a planning horizon anyway, an edge you can plan before but not after. Too much uncertainty about the world state at that point.
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