Biggest thing I’ve learned in the last 2 months: the basic currency of civilized life is time in a crisis, and it is *very* expensive Years of foresight work buy you days to weeks at most in a crisis Millions/billions of preparedness dollars buy you months at most ...
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And all it takes is one fool in the wrong place at the wrong time to entirely waste all the time bought.
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On the flip side “there are decades where nothing happens, and weeks where decades happen”... so a week bought for crisis time and defended well against fools is worth a decade. So if you weigh the value of time with exponential correctness, the effort/reward is worth it
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This has also given me a very fresh appreciation of the OODA loop.irs not billions of dollars, it’s not N95 masks. It’s time. Tempo tempo tempo. Every decision you make a day or week earlier than others gains you OODA time.
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That grim joke about the lion/bear works with the virus. For many things you don’t have to outrun the virus, you just have to outrun the other guy. Hate it or grimly exist in it, the ops reality everywhere is acquiring this dynamic.
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One lesson I always keep in mind us how in WW2 towards the end, when Nazi defeat was assured, the race to Berlin was mostly about setting up an advantageous opening position for Cold War. Time again. Those last few weeks of “allies” competing for a slice of Germany shaped decades
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You should be prepared for this. When the tide finally turns globally, and it’s clear the virus can be beaten (treatment, vaccine, whatever), *then* the real ugliness will start as parties race to establish positions for the post-Corona world.
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Another way to appreciate this is just how screwed you’d get if a second crisis hits while a first is unfolding. Could California handle an earthquake now? Could you personally handle say an identity theft episode with all customer service logjammed? That’s a time crisis.
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Replying to @vgr
you did see that there was a 4.9 a couple hours ago, right? out in the desert...
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