Biggest thing I’ve learned in the last 2 months: the basic currency of civilized life is time in a crisis, and it is *very* expensive Years of foresight work buy you days to weeks at most in a crisis Millions/billions of preparedness dollars buy you months at most ...
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And all it takes is one fool in the wrong place at the wrong time to entirely waste all the time bought.
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On the flip side “there are decades where nothing happens, and weeks where decades happen”... so a week bought for crisis time and defended well against fools is worth a decade. So if you weigh the value of time with exponential correctness, the effort/reward is worth it
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This has also given me a very fresh appreciation of the OODA loop.irs not billions of dollars, it’s not N95 masks. It’s time. Tempo tempo tempo. Every decision you make a day or week earlier than others gains you OODA time.
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That grim joke about the lion/bear works with the virus. For many things you don’t have to outrun the virus, you just have to outrun the other guy. Hate it or grimly exist in it, the ops reality everywhere is acquiring this dynamic.
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Replying to @harmonylion1
It’s not a product. It’s an investment philosophy.
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What do you think I do?
this is my main consulting shtick
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