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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

Tweets

Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

This is my conversational account. For my work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 3
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    China wildly misreporting its numbers is more than dumb national face-saving “stability” seeking bullshit. It means everybody else is badly miscalibrated on everything.

    4:44 PM - 3 Apr 2020
    • 7 Retweets
    • 70 Likes
    • Juvoni Beckford ahobata Amrit Pal Swapan Jain multi_modality portalnyc Mohammed Adam Drake E. ಠ_ಠ
    10 replies 7 retweets 70 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Divia Eden‏ @diviacaroline Apr 3
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        Replying to @vgr

        I don’t get it! It seems like everything has played out about how we expected based on the Chinese numbers.

        1 reply 0 retweets 8 likes
      3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 3
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        Replying to @diviacaroline

        As you expected maybe. I think most leaders under-reacted in time and effort based on Chinese numbers seeming low.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. 3 more replies
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      2. Richard Lewis‏ @Z3R0Gravitas Apr 3
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        Replying to @vgr

        How much is "wildly misreporting", numerically? My understanding is China's reports been as solid as west's, since national level took control late Jan. UK now under-reports deaths by 25%. Italy total 'excess' deaths appears 2x official Covid num. And how exactly throw off US?

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 3
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        Replying to @Z3R0Gravitas

        Order of magnitude off is my guess

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 3
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        Replying to @max_arbitrage @diviacaroline

        That was their reaction, we still don’t know how big the provocation was. Of course an authoritarian would do a draconian lockdown. It doesn’t reveal much. Their response to everything is draconian

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Divia Eden‏ @diviacaroline Apr 3
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        Replying to @vgr @max_arbitrage

        I wouldn’t have been expected China to respond like that actually. I guess I should have, but I would not have. Also didn’t expect the US to lock down like this.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. pastablister‏ @pastablister Apr 3
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        Replying to @vgr

        you're saying it was sabotage, an act of war, effectively?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 3
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        Replying to @pastablister

        No. Craven stupidity.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. 3 more replies
      1. Diane Foley‏ @Tantele Apr 3
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        Replying to @vgr

        Calibrate on Italy

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. at#bhj‏ @ptmaem Apr 3
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        Replying to @vgr

        Not everybody. At least Korea and Taiwan did not miscalibrate and responded appropriately in retrospective. Their proximity and familiarity to China might be the reason. Plus, US cannot even muster enough response after Italy so it doesn’t matter tbh

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