Anyone have alt estimated numbers for China? I just don’t believe they contained it *that* well.
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Any particular reason you don't believe it?
They told people to stay indoors. People did what they were told.
Why do Americans have such difficulty understanding that basic principle?
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Lots of infected left Wuhan before the lockdown. Rumors of more cremation urns than numbers etc.
Have you read about what they did?
My best guess is they were cremating everyone who died for any reason during that time. Maybe cremating other organic matter too, though they wouldn’t have put the other stuff in urns.
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1/ Of all the articles I read this week on #COVID19, this @nytimes
really caught my eye.
It was an interview w/ Dr. Bruce Aylward, the lead on the @WHO team that visited China to examine their response.
It surprised me for multiple reasons.
nytimes.com/2020/03/04/hea
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Yes, but the things I’m reading simply aren’t adding up to a coherent picture yet so I’m cautious about believing any of it
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Italy started lockdowns when cases started getting bad, but they already knew what they were facing. In Wuhan they would have been caught flat-footed. By the time they figured out was going on and planned a response there would have been many more cases already in the pipeline.




