I think I’m failing to understand something basic. What exactly is the endgame with this social distancing strategy? Doesn’t flattening the curve just mean moving the spike to later when you try to ease the mitigation measures?
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The focus for the next year would be to isolate/contain the damn virus as much as possible. Keep testing only on the boundaries as much as possible. So either travel with an immunity card or get tested. Quarantined if you are coming from high risk area.
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what’s your take on south korea then? seems to be working well enough there with active case load dropping over time
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I'm hearing that holding the line is turning out to be harder than people realized. They're expecting a resurgence. HK already has a resurgence.
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You don't need to test everyone all the time. In a simplified model, if R0 is 3, you'd only need to detect and quarantine 2 out of 3 people for the virus to stop propagating. Our efforts do not have linear consequences.
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If we make enough masks for everyone to wear at all time, that drops the R0 even further. "Death by a thousand cuts"
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arguably, shouldn’t greater focus be on testing for the antibodies and not the virus? i would say focusing policy and compiling data around the population who has immunity from the disease has more long term benefits than playing catch up with the contagion.
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