Conversation

I think I’m failing to understand something basic. What exactly is the endgame with this social distancing strategy? Doesn’t flattening the curve just mean moving the spike to later when you try to ease the mitigation measures?
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Bring R-0 < 1 through home lock-down, then quick ubiquitous testing to keep it that way. Only works if you secure the quick ubiquitous testing part.
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I'm not convinced it works even in that case, unless it is reduced to the level of temperature gun even for asymptomatics... even a quick 5 minute test as a gatekeeping device might be far too much friction and cost for most high-flow physical space transactional environments
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The focus for the next year would be to isolate/contain the damn virus as much as possible. Keep testing only on the boundaries as much as possible. So either travel with an immunity card or get tested. Quarantined if you are coming from high risk area.
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You don't need to test everyone all the time. In a simplified model, if R0 is 3, you'd only need to detect and quarantine 2 out of 3 people for the virus to stop propagating. Our efforts do not have linear consequences.
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