I think I’m failing to understand something basic. What exactly is the endgame with this social distancing strategy? Doesn’t flattening the curve just mean moving the spike to later when you try to ease the mitigation measures?
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Trump wants the right thing for the wrong reasons. He measures his “winning” in stock market and employment figures terms. But the health war is not winnable with a crashed economy. The economy needs to be reoriented towards the war effort in much bigger ways.
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Bigger ways than distillers making hand sanitizers and GM making ventilators. 10m people have filed for unemployment in 2 weeks. Their jobs might not be back for months or years or ever. They needs jobs in the war economy. I hate the war metaphor but it’s the only one we have.
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Lemme me put it more simply: the people most willing to crash the economy probably have secure jobs or wealth to tide this out. They have no idea what the precariat is up against after $1200 band-aid and 6 mo support (best case) run out. Probably ~60-80m workers are vulnerable.
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So it seems like the best bet is: masks for all + temperature checking at entrances to schools, workplaces, and other social spaces (need to hire lots of security guards with thermometers). And then fast-tracking a vaccine. This sounds vaguely promising?https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/490866-first-peer-reviewed-coronavirus-vaccine-shows-promise-in-mice …
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That worked for SARS, but asymptomatic carriers and still being contagious after major symptoms are gone mean fever alone isn't enough. Not to say we couldn't have a very fast test, but it's hard to imagine it could ever be as good as temperature guns.
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but this is not a war? in this metaphor, what exactly is the virus’s economic machine?
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