I think I’m failing to understand something basic. What exactly is the endgame with this social distancing strategy? Doesn’t flattening the curve just mean moving the spike to later when you try to ease the mitigation measures?
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tldr: we are in wishful thinking mode. The best thing we could probably do now is work on smarter mitigation. This thing might need to go on far longer than the current mitigation can be sustained for. The virus might remain irrational longer than distancing can remain solvent.
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I think people are letting trump derangement syndrome blind them to criticality of getting economy running again. Every modern industrial war since the US civil war has been won by a better economic machine overwhelming a worse one. The fighting bought the economy time to win.
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Trump wants the right thing for the wrong reasons. He measures his “winning” in stock market and employment figures terms. But the health war is not winnable with a crashed economy. The economy needs to be reoriented towards the war effort in much bigger ways.
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Bigger ways than distillers making hand sanitizers and GM making ventilators. 10m people have filed for unemployment in 2 weeks. Their jobs might not be back for months or years or ever. They needs jobs in the war economy. I hate the war metaphor but it’s the only one we have.
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Lemme me put it more simply: the people most willing to crash the economy probably have secure jobs or wealth to tide this out. They have no idea what the precariat is up against after $1200 band-aid and 6 mo support (best case) run out. Probably ~60-80m workers are vulnerable.
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I’ve been thinking about this. Like what does it look like given that our IT infrastructure is still significantly underdeveloped? Retraining folks is incredibly tough, but this might be a time to invest in making that possible for more people...https://twitter.com/b_cavello/status/1245408152964628480 …
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But what is the economy? Why does some number moving up = good, even if people are dying, vs number moving down = bad, but less people dying. this also relates to the "how can we pay for it" arguments against better access to medical care.
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We are in this situation because of our precarious and fragile global economic order. we could do better. Trying to save it will just kill us all
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why are humanists
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