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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

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Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

Conversational account. For work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian. IKEA builder.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Apr 2
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    Venkatesh Rao Retweeted Venkatesh Rao

    New conclusion. Nobody else understands it either. There’s a few vague theories in the air but the numbers don’t seem to really add up for any of them.https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1245943610303901696 …

    Venkatesh Rao added,

    Venkatesh Rao @vgr
    I think I’m failing to understand something basic. What exactly is the endgame with this social distancing strategy? Doesn’t flattening the curve just mean moving the spike to later when you try to ease the mitigation measures?
    Show this thread
    10:28 PM - 2 Apr 2020
    • 2 Retweets
    • 31 Likes
    • Tess Alex P. Miller 😷 DestroyerofMinds jorge Maybe: Th𐃏mas Lisankie An abundance of caution Aaron Franklin Maaike Verbruggen Dr. Ματταθίας
    14 replies 2 retweets 31 likes
      1. Bill Mill‏ @llimllib Apr 2
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        Replying to @vgr

        My favorite blog on this ishttps://covid19-insights.squarespace.com/blog/covid19-insights-7 …

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Nishant‏ @FourThinInches Apr 2
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        Replying to @vgr

        It’s not rocket science… flatten curve to buy hospitals time to churn patients through the door. Patients come and go instead of pilling up and fighting for beds and dying.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. [indistinct chatter]‏ @mattyford Apr 2
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        Replying to @FourThinInches @vgr

        But that isn’t a strategy, just a tactic to buy time. What’s the actual end goal?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. Tess‏ @TessHottenroth Apr 2
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        Replying to @vgr

        Tess Retweeted Caitlin Johnstone  ⏳

        Concur. https://twitter.com/caitoz/status/1244085447715741696?s=21 …https://twitter.com/caitoz/status/1244085447715741696 …

        Tess added,

        Caitlin Johnstone  ⏳ @caitoz
        It’s Okay To Be Uncertain What’s Happening And Where This Is All Going "If you’re seeing a mountain of disparate and conflicting information about which you can’t form a single unified narrative right now, that’s okay. That’s what we’re all seeing." https://medium.com/@caityjohnstone/its-okay-to-be-uncertain-what-s-happening-and-where-this-is-all-going-aab5426e670f …
        Show this thread
        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Bregna‏ @_bregna Apr 2
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        Replying to @vgr

        They dont know what to do so they're doing something. The cat will be out of the bag once they open things up for econ reasons and we just deal with the fatalities.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Alfred Differ‏ @AlfredDiffer Apr 2
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        Replying to @vgr

        If we don't flatten the curve, the death toll will include people who might have been saved if only we had the hospital capacity. Flatten it and we have spread out the infections AND get to build more capacity.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Chris Fong‏ @ChrisPFong Apr 2
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        Replying to @vgr

        Buy time to up mask production for everyone which then buys time for the vaccine.

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
      3. Johannes Meixner‏ @xmjEE Apr 3
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        Replying to @ChrisPFong @vgr

        also buying time to ramp up testing capacity making the Korea method feasible through: 1. mask abundance 2. rapid test & trace possible 3. positive antibody -> get out of jail free card

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Veljko Skarich‏ @vskarich Apr 2
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        Replying to @vgr

        The actual goal is to get to one of two end states 12-18 months from now: a vaccine or herd immunity, while keeping the curve flat enough so that as few die as possible due to scarcity of medical resources.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Jeremy Arnold‏ @jdotarnold Apr 3
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        Replying to @vgr

        One interesting theory is that *if* HCQ proves to work at keeping infections from turning severe, then intentional infections of healthy people at lowest feasible viral loads might help accelerate herd immunity. Infect -> HCQ -> quarantine -> monitor. Lots of ifs though.

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