The US actually has the most ICU beds/100,000 by a wide margin. Why are Turkey and Lebanon at 2 and 3? Wonder 9f definitions of ICUs are different.pic.twitter.com/ycZwywoD80
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Annually about 57m people die, or about 0.76%. If the total fatalities of Covid19 end up around 1% (possible given weak infrastructure in developing world), and assuming significant overlap with people who might have died anyway, this graph could see a spike to 100m.pic.twitter.com/vOWCAtutvj
The developing world has a few things going for it: younger population, warmer climate (which may or may not help), and lower rate of internal population movements. Also generally earlier responses. But I’m not optimistic.
I’m going to bet around 0.5-1% marginal uptick for India when this eventually gets going. ~5m-10m. People are being way too rosy in their projections.
I'm sure the answer to that harrowing question is in the data somewhere but it's a question no one really wants to explicitly ask.
Home care will lead to the whole family getting infected. It will be bad
Do you know of any articles discussing whether at this point is the lack of cases in west Africa is due-to lack of test kits available or another explanation (ie BCG being standard protocol on the vaccination regimen?)
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