This table paints a weird picture. A 7x overwhelming of ICU beds in India would just saturate the US. This thing is going to hit the developing world brutally. What’s the raw mortality rate (ie with no access to healthcare)?
-
-
Show this thread
-
Annually about 57m people die, or about 0.76%. If the total fatalities of Covid19 end up around 1% (possible given weak infrastructure in developing world), and assuming significant overlap with people who might have died anyway, this graph could see a spike to 100m.pic.twitter.com/vOWCAtutvj
Show this thread -
The developing world has a few things going for it: younger population, warmer climate (which may or may not help), and lower rate of internal population movements. Also generally earlier responses. But I’m not optimistic.
Show this thread -
I’m going to bet around 0.5-1% marginal uptick for India when this eventually gets going. ~5m-10m. People are being way too rosy in their projections.
Show this thread
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
Have heard of a lot of medical tourism in Turkey. Maybe that's what drives their number?
-
FWIW when I was there for 2 weeks I saw at least 50 people in public with bandages post hair transplant or nose job. Before that, never even one.
- 1 more reply
New conversation -
-
-
Some color on ICU bed data:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3551445/ …
-
Insane highlight: 1% of US GDP is spent on critical care of some sort, of which ICUs are a large fraction.
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
@imveryverbose, would you know about Lebanon
-
@riadsaleme can you ask your friends at RHUH
End of conversation
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.