Antilock braking system type policy: oscillating between enforcement and relaxation I suspect something like that will be the norm in a year. Equivalent of rain forecasts. “Stay in next 2 days; we need 48h of distancing” Distancing forecasts. Red/yellow/green weather reports.
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Seems to me Taleb is misrepresenting what he's actually saying though. Which wouldn't come as a surprise, to be honest.
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He’s not the only one. Google around and search twitter. Ioannidis has been almost universally criticized by a variety of people on a variety of fronts, a lot of whom I take more seriously than Taleb. If you want to take your cues from him you’re in the minority.
End of conversation
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