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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

Tweets

Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

Conversational account. For work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian. IKEA builder.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    1. Brandon Hudgeons‏ @bhudgeons Mar 28
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      Brandon Hudgeons Retweeted Venkatesh Rao

      Upside of coronavirus: it will cure our Gell-Mann amnesia.https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1244095032618930176 …

      Brandon Hudgeons added,

      Venkatesh Rao @vgr
      “In general, countries that test less and reserve it for those already very ill, like Italy, have higher fatality rates.” https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/28/opinion/germany-coronavirus.html …
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 28
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      Replying to @bhudgeons

      I don’t think they’re making the literal mistake you’re thinking off

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Brandon Hudgeons‏ @bhudgeons Mar 28
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      Replying to @vgr

      Italy tests the hospitalized. “And many more young people in Germany have tested positive for the virus than in other countries. In part, that’s attributable to the country’s more extensive testing.” And then you compare death rates? What did I miss?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 28
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      Replying to @bhudgeons

      Absolute death rates per capita. Rate of positives as an artifact of greater testing, and naive fatality rate are both irrelevant. High testing incidence is a sign of longer period in test-and-trace containment phase, so the conclusion that Germany is doing better is well founded

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    5. Brandon Hudgeons‏ @bhudgeons Mar 28
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      Replying to @vgr

      That is not at all what the article says. Your version of the article would be 1 paragraph long.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 28
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      Replying to @bhudgeons

      😂 Giving them benefit of doubt of wanting to make that basic point in a fumbling confused way. They’ve got the pieces of the jigsaw puzzle in there.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Brandon Hudgeons‏ @bhudgeons Mar 28
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      Replying to @vgr

      “That’s a fatality rate of 0.72 percent. By contrast, the current rate in Italy — where over 10,000 people have died — is 10.8 percent. In Spain, it’s 8 percent. Over twice as many people have died in Britain, where there are around three times fewer cases, than in Germany.”

      3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 28
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      Replying to @bhudgeons

      What would be actually useful now is a sense of mortality rate increases by surge condition state. At like 2x, 3x etc. Presumably the longer you’re in the ventilator queue the less likely you are to get one before you die.

      10:54 PM - 28 Mar 2020
      • 1 Like
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      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        1. Jscott‏ @DailySuicide Mar 28
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          Replying to @vgr @bhudgeons

          I've become point person to identify and provide rides to counties/states with low case loads. I appointed myself. Told 2 people. But be assured, I'm taking this very seriously.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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