Stage 0: Amateur-hour bravado armchair quarterback FUD. Corona-BIRGing and dissing of experts.
Stage 1: Well-intentioned rush to help, acute compassion+chaos, gradual realization and acceptance of your actual value in the crisis (books realizing they’re doorstops)
...
Conversation
Replying to
Stage 2: Accept coordination of low situational value (eg social distancing), letting pros lead
Stage 3: Acute compassion gives way to chronic empathy. Scenario forecast based measures mooted.
Stage 4: Knives out, memories of past crises, “not this time” overcompensation
...
1
9
Stage 5: Disaster capitalism, disaster idealism, arbitrage, and profiteering plans begin to crystallize
Stage 6: Long-term measures kick in. Cantillon effects begin. Goodhart law citations through the roof.
Stage 7: Crisis passes. Scars at all levels.
...
1
7
Stage 8: Cohort of most-hurt people develops festering wounds and activates and organizes into a political actor with long-term grievances. Cohort of accidental/deliberate beneficiaries creates new false consciousness to rationalize the outcome as natural justice.
2
1
13
Replying to
You forgot the amendment to every stage:
"What is happening now (whatever it is) proves my political ideas were right all along"...
1

