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Not obvious from inspection that a flatter curve has less overage area, but nonlinear function f (superlinear) is likely which means 6x over limit is not just 2x fatality rate of 3x, it’ll be higher. Some sort of reverse lanchester dynamics going on here
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Lanchester dynamics is a nonl9near model of attrition warfare dynamics where you concentrate forces to maximize damage. An advantage of K gives you K^2 more inflicted dynamics. This is reverse. Spread resources to minimize damage.
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Replying to
Another factor to complicate the picture. The capacity line changes with time. * It drops when medical personnel become ill or supplies are exhausted. * It can increase as efforts to expand capacity and supplies come in. Both add to the value of shifting cases further right.
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