Covid19 response scorecard so far afaict China: C+ Korea, Taiwan, HK, Singapore: A- Germany, France: B- Italy: D Iran: F US: C-
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Replying to @axiomaticdoubts
China bought us time, we made zero use of it and really messed up the testing ramp up when it could easily have been Korea-quality. We had enough time.
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Replying to @vgr @axiomaticdoubts
Ok so let’s repeat the question, why does the USA get as high of a grade as C-?
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Replying to @andavargas @vgr
Yup, that is what I meant — I apologize for being ambiguous.
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Replying to @axiomaticdoubts @andavargas
We still haven't had the situation deteriorate to Italy/Iran levels so therey may be time to make up for lost time in other ways by mitigating better etc, even as testing catches up. So far we haven't seen hospitals overwhelmed and death rates of 7% or whatever.
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it is at italy levels if you time shift 0 to where community transmission has taken hold.
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I think my criteria are different from yours. Including the non-ergodicity in the situation... American hospitals are watching Italy and presumably pre-empting certain failure modes.
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I would like to believe that's true. I would also like to know what the failure modes are because I, a relatively science-minded guy, have no idea.
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For example, I'd institute all-hands triage training specifically around this, not just the relevant GPs, triage nurses and ICU staff. Italy has shown that in a surge event any available medical personnel will get sucked in, many of whom are really rusty on the right protocols
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Replying to @vgr @LordScavamungus and
I'd go further. Train waaaay more people. EMT and CNA crash-courses for the public (with a special focus on PPE and infection control, of course.) Heck, like a draft but for medicine!
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