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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

Tweets

Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

This is my conversational account. For my work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    1. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 11
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      Covid19 response scorecard so far afaict China: C+ Korea, Taiwan, HK, Singapore: A- Germany, France: B- Italy: D Iran: F US: C-

      37 replies 16 retweets 152 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Natália Mendonça‏ @axiomaticdoubts Mar 11
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      Replying to @vgr

      Why does the US get a C-?

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 11
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      Replying to @axiomaticdoubts

      China bought us time, we made zero use of it and really messed up the testing ramp up when it could easily have been Korea-quality. We had enough time.

      2 replies 0 retweets 18 likes
    4. Andy Vargas‏ @andavargas Mar 11
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      Replying to @vgr @axiomaticdoubts

      Ok so let’s repeat the question, why does the USA get as high of a grade as C-?

      1 reply 0 retweets 17 likes
    5. Natália Mendonça‏ @axiomaticdoubts Mar 11
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      Replying to @andavargas @vgr

      Yup, that is what I meant — I apologize for being ambiguous.

      1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
    6. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 11
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      Replying to @axiomaticdoubts @andavargas

      We still haven't had the situation deteriorate to Italy/Iran levels so therey may be time to make up for lost time in other ways by mitigating better etc, even as testing catches up. So far we haven't seen hospitals overwhelmed and death rates of 7% or whatever.

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
    7. Nikete‏ @nikete Mar 11
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      Replying to @vgr @axiomaticdoubts @andavargas

      it is at italy levels if you time shift 0 to where community transmission has taken hold.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 11
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      Replying to @nikete @axiomaticdoubts @andavargas

      I think my criteria are different from yours. Including the non-ergodicity in the situation... American hospitals are watching Italy and presumably pre-empting certain failure modes.

      5:57 PM - 11 Mar 2020
      • 1 Like
      • Adele Dewey-Lopez
      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        1. New conversation
        2. Chris Owens‏ @LordScavamungus Mar 11
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          Replying to @vgr @nikete and

          I would like to believe that's true. I would also like to know what the failure modes are because I, a relatively science-minded guy, have no idea.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 11
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          Replying to @LordScavamungus @nikete and

          For example, I'd institute all-hands triage training specifically around this, not just the relevant GPs, triage nurses and ICU staff. Italy has shown that in a surge event any available medical personnel will get sucked in, many of whom are really rusty on the right protocols

          1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
        4. 1 more reply
        1. Nikete‏ @nikete Mar 11
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          Replying to @vgr @axiomaticdoubts @andavargas

          I was grading the states response. Individual hosptials/institutions that happen to be in states that are fucking up can still do amazing work (eg UW ftw)

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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