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Covid19 response scorecard so far afaict China: C+ Korea, Taiwan, HK, Singapore: A- Germany, France: B- Italy: D Iran: F US: C-
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People arguing for a higher grade for China, have you accounted for 2 factors? 1. They need serious points dinging for not locking down after SARS, by shutting down wildlife meat markets 2. It is not clear to me that the massive reaction was either in time or appropriate
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I'd like to assign India a grade, but tbf I can't read the situation. It's unclear wtf is happening and why rates are so low. I'm guessing it's a mix of weather, poor travel infrastructure, low testing rates, and a young population, so asymptomatic spread > serious illness/death
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But presumptively I'd assign India a D, based on reports of the silliness doing the rounds in the infamous WhatsApp disinformation sewers, and dumbass traditional medicine claims being made by leaders.
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It was not in time and they knew of the pathogen early on. Misaligned political incentives and priorities led to a complacency as Chinese NY approached, ignoring the risks and allowing mass gatherings to take place. During the escalation, medical experts' warnings were ignored.
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1. I think the issue happens with the intermingling of live species, more than just wildlife, massive expands potential cross-species jumps. good point 2. It was late, and it is far more brutal than necessary (contrast Taiwan), but it did bend the curve, the test isnt over....
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Point one just blows my mind how incredibly stupid they were. Even if the leaders wanted 'Phoenix eats Dragon", they could have gone the Japanese route and make it a specialty of a particular locale, isolated from the broader society.
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Re 1. Beijing responded to this outbreak by trying to suppress "bad news", thus losing weeks of action and showing they learned nothing from the SARS and ASF epidemics Also, they need points deducted for pressing other countries not to restrict all China travel