Amara’s law for tech forecasts seems to get inverted for social forecasts. Regular (tech): overestimating change in the short term and underestimating it in the long term, Inverted (social): underestimating change in short term and overestimating it in long term.
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Replying to @Aelkus
They aren’t fully entangled either though
4:01 PM - 11 Mar 2020
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