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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

Tweets

Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

This is my conversational account. For my work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    1. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 11
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      Post-pandemic before/after speculative prediction/forecasting thread. Will try to capture ideas that occur to me in a non-valuative way (ie, avoid tagging as dark age/return to light)

      4 replies 1 retweet 12 likes
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    2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 11
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      Viewed as a network, the UrbanNet will start shifting from big "cloud datacenter" metros to "network edge fat client" small cities of < 0.25m. Logistics will rewire from hub-spoke to p2p.

      1 reply 2 retweets 11 likes
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    3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 11
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      Supply chains will start shifting to intermediates that can be assembled last mile. This is a swing that has had complex cycles before, due to railroads, refrigerated rail cars/trucks, containerization, Chinafication etc. Currently it's finished consumer goods, b2b intermediates.

      1 reply 1 retweet 7 likes
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    4. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 11
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      So it won't just be hipsters making their own bread. We're making our own alcohol wipes from... 70% alcohol and tissues. If you try this btw, regular 80 proof alcohol won't do. You need everclear or something. People are posting recipes (mostly bad) for home-made hand sanitizer.

      2 replies 1 retweet 7 likes
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    5. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 11
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      In general, small scale network-edge manufacturing lacks efficiencies of scale, and is harder to automate, but is more agile/flexible ("fat"). There will be demand for high-skill staffed job shops for "semi-homemade" things. Kinda like old-school compounding pharmacies.

      3 replies 1 retweet 9 likes
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    6. FM‏ @ftuuky Mar 11
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      Replying to @vgr

      do you see in your scenarios 3D-printing as a key technology? things like artisanal deep learning, raspberry pis and arduinos could also push for automation at the edges

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 11
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      Replying to @ftuuky

      Yes, but it might take longer than people hope. That stuff seems to find it tough to break out of hobby zone.

      12:16 PM - 11 Mar 2020
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      • Nerwen FM
      0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes

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