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Thread on org lessons
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I'm trying to look out for structural/organizational lessons that go beyond the basics like avoiding large gatherings, higher decentralization etc. One that struck me is the perils of specialization in healthcare that leads to 1 contact turning into dozens or more.
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Stub for linking in Perrow's Normal Accidents model (2 unrelated things combining in a complex system). We haven't yet seen impact of thatCovid-19 is going to be a sustained 18-month "strike 1" and *any* strike 2 will cause normal accidents (wildfire, quakes, extreme weather)
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Thought that occurred to me that will likely occur to a lot of people is: this thing will decimate (as in 10% sense, but perhaps higher) the older boomers and silents. The “glee except for *my* parents and close elders” reaction will be tempting. But the contradiction is telling.
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Whatever your politics on generational demographic/power imbalance in an aging population that’s living longer, thinking of a pandemic as a rebalancing force is dumb at Thanos levels of simplistic meathead politics. Your instinct to treat your parents as exception reveals why
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Humans evolved to take care of elderly for complex reasons and it shows up as instinct to look out for one’s own parents. The previous generation is your future. You’ll likely live longer than today’s 70+ crowd. What you do today for them is what will be done for you in 30 years.
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Trying to get ahead of the inevitable macabre/dank anti-boomer glee narrative. If I can think this thought others can likely go nuts with it.
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Thread on older contagion reads, movies etc
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Thread of good older things to do with pandemics. Old classic on bureaucratic heroism, riffing on the Contagion movie nplusonemag.com/online-only/on
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To be clear this is one thing that can be directly blamed on Trump systematically dismantling/undermining the CDC’s mission for 2+ years. It’s not generic bureaucratic malaise and incompetence. For once Hanlon’s razor does not apply. This is active malice.
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If he hadn't undermined, there would have been no need for a research lab to challenge authority at all. The CDC would already have been in full response mode producing tests and rolling out response measures.