Conversation

Replying to
Newspapers should make their virus coverage free... seattle times already did it I think, but LA times isn't doing it... if a random blogger/newsletter guy like me can afford to make most of my writing free, a newspaper should be able to figure it out for public service stuff
1
17
Pandemics are not ergodic. The chances of 100 people catching covid-19 today are not the same as the chances of 1 of those 100 catching it in the next 100 days.
2
18
Thread on org lessons
Quote Tweet
I'm trying to look out for structural/organizational lessons that go beyond the basics like avoiding large gatherings, higher decentralization etc. One that struck me is the perils of specialization in healthcare that leads to 1 contact turning into dozens or more.
Show this thread
1
5
Stub for linking in Perrow's Normal Accidents model (2 unrelated things combining in a complex system). We haven't yet seen impact of thatCovid-19 is going to be a sustained 18-month "strike 1" and *any* strike 2 will cause normal accidents (wildfire, quakes, extreme weather)
1
8
Thought that occurred to me that will likely occur to a lot of people is: this thing will decimate (as in 10% sense, but perhaps higher) the older boomers and silents. The “glee except for *my* parents and close elders” reaction will be tempting. But the contradiction is telling.
2
11
Whatever your politics on generational demographic/power imbalance in an aging population that’s living longer, thinking of a pandemic as a rebalancing force is dumb at Thanos levels of simplistic meathead politics. Your instinct to treat your parents as exception reveals why
1
26
Humans evolved to take care of elderly for complex reasons and it shows up as instinct to look out for one’s own parents. The previous generation is your future. You’ll likely live longer than today’s 70+ crowd. What you do today for them is what will be done for you in 30 years.
1
26
Trying to get ahead of the inevitable macabre/dank anti-boomer glee narrative. If I can think this thought others can likely go nuts with it.
3
15