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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

Tweets

Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

This is my conversational account. For my work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    1. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 10
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      Gonna start a #viruslog thread and limit my virus tweeting to it as much as possible. Looks like we're in this for the long haul. Recommend others do the same unless there's a good reason to tweet stand alone. It'll also be a good set of journals to review when it's all over.

      4 replies 9 retweets 98 likes
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    2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 10
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      How the actual disease progresshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-08/coronavirus-nears-fatal-tipping-point-when-lungs-are-inflamed …

      1 reply 3 retweets 15 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 10
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      Silver lining. I'm pretty sure this is going to accelerate the climate action roadmap as a silver lining.

      4 replies 0 retweets 25 likes
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    4. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 10
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      fwiw I'm specifically thinking of the direct impact of widespread installation of remote/virtual work habits and the effect on business-driven energy consumption. Not generic installation of civic consciousness or collective action ethos or idealistic stuff like that.

      2 replies 0 retweets 29 likes
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    5. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 10
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      Newspapers should make their virus coverage free... seattle times already did it I think, but LA times isn't doing it... if a random blogger/newsletter guy like me can afford to make most of my writing free, a newspaper should be able to figure it out for public service stuff

      1 reply 1 retweet 18 likes
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      Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 10
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      Venkatesh Rao Retweeted Venkatesh Rao

      Real-time trackerhttps://twitter.com/vgr/status/1237456291355709441 …

      Venkatesh Rao added,

      Venkatesh Rao @vgr
      Real-time coronavirus tracker, ht @scrivenix https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 …
      12:12 PM - 10 Mar 2020
      • 1 Retweet
      • 6 Likes
      • safe Moon satellite Rahul Ramchandani kthakur 魔法BOZO族GOBLIN ☆ ODDS 🇺🇸 Manage Tail Risks. Grow The Economy. The Simulation™ 💸 אלכס ק וויינר
      2 replies 1 retweet 6 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 10
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          Pandemics are not ergodic. The chances of 100 people catching covid-19 today are not the same as the chances of 1 of those 100 catching it in the next 100 days.

          2 replies 1 retweet 20 likes
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        3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 10
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          Venkatesh Rao Retweeted Venkatesh Rao

          Thread on org lessonshttps://twitter.com/vgr/status/1237469641422733312 …

          Venkatesh Rao added,

          Venkatesh Rao @vgr
          I'm trying to look out for structural/organizational lessons that go beyond the basics like avoiding large gatherings, higher decentralization etc. One that struck me is the perils of specialization in healthcare that leads to 1 contact turning into dozens or more.
          Show this thread
          1 reply 1 retweet 5 likes
          Show this thread
        4. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 10
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          Stub for linking in Perrow's Normal Accidents model (2 unrelated things combining in a complex system). We haven't yet seen impact of thatCovid-19 is going to be a sustained 18-month "strike 1" and *any* strike 2 will cause normal accidents (wildfire, quakes, extreme weather)

          2 replies 1 retweet 8 likes
          Show this thread
        5. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 10
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          Thought that occurred to me that will likely occur to a lot of people is: this thing will decimate (as in 10% sense, but perhaps higher) the older boomers and silents. The “glee except for *my* parents and close elders” reaction will be tempting. But the contradiction is telling.

          2 replies 0 retweets 11 likes
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        6. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 10
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          Whatever your politics on generational demographic/power imbalance in an aging population that’s living longer, thinking of a pandemic as a rebalancing force is dumb at Thanos levels of simplistic meathead politics. Your instinct to treat your parents as exception reveals why

          1 reply 4 retweets 27 likes
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        7. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 10
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          Humans evolved to take care of elderly for complex reasons and it shows up as instinct to look out for one’s own parents. The previous generation is your future. You’ll likely live longer than today’s 70+ crowd. What you do today for them is what will be done for you in 30 years.

          1 reply 5 retweets 28 likes
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        8. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 10
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          Trying to get ahead of the inevitable macabre/dank anti-boomer glee narrative. If I can think this thought others can likely go nuts with it.

          4 replies 0 retweets 17 likes
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        9. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 10
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          Venkatesh Rao Retweeted Venkatesh Rao

          Thread on older contagion reads, movies etc https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1237559771655356416?s=21 …https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1237559771655356416 …

          Venkatesh Rao added,

          Venkatesh Rao @vgr
          Thread of good older things to do with pandemics. Old classic on bureaucratic heroism, riffing on the Contagion movie https://nplusonemag.com/online-only/online-only/bureaucratic-heroism/ …
          Show this thread
          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
          Show this thread
        10. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 11
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          ‘The message from the federal government was blunt. “What they said on that phone call very clearly was cease and desist to Helen Chu,” Dr. Lindquist remembered. “Stop testing.”’ via @stratecheryhttps://stratechery.com/2020/zero-trust-information/ …

          2 replies 2 retweets 12 likes
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        11. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 11
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          To be clear this is one thing that can be directly blamed on Trump systematically dismantling/undermining the CDC’s mission for 2+ years. It’s not generic bureaucratic malaise and incompetence. For once Hanlon’s razor does not apply. This is active malice.

          2 replies 0 retweets 17 likes
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        12. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 11
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          On a more personal front, my office is now on WFH protocol. Kinda ironic that the one year in a decade that I have an actual office to go to, it gets shut down. I was kinda enjoying larping the paycheck life while it lasted.

          1 reply 0 retweets 11 likes
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        13. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 11
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          I only have a few terry pratchetts left to go, and am saving them up as emergency cheer rations for later. Quarantine escapism is going to be tough.

          2 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
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        14. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 11
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          Venkatesh Rao Retweeted Venkatesh Rao

          Forecasting thread on before/after shifts.https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1237807343972134912 …

          Venkatesh Rao added,

          Venkatesh Rao @vgr
          Post-pandemic before/after speculative prediction/forecasting thread. Will try to capture ideas that occur to me in a non-valuative way (ie, avoid tagging as dark age/return to light)
          Show this thread
          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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        15. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 11
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          Venkatesh Rao Retweeted Laurie Garrett

          Thread on testing debaclehttps://twitter.com/Laurie_Garrett/status/1237784291872030721 …

          Venkatesh Rao added,

          Laurie GarrettVerified account @Laurie_Garrett
          WHY AMERICA HAS NO IDEA HOW MANY PEOPLE HAVE #COVID19 : (thread in response to @devisridhar query) 1.) In January Trump admin decided CDC would invent test kits, FDA would approve them 2.) CDC kits stalled at FDA approval stage for long time 3.) States started screaming MORE pic.twitter.com/xbu1mLjXLp
          Show this thread
          1 reply 1 retweet 6 likes
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        16. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Mar 11
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          In general, what makes this a narrative collapse is that it is the first true social media pandemic, where the possibility of conducting a global conversation in real time changes what it means to us. This pandemic will be live tweeted in exactly the way Spanish Flu was not.

          0 replies 2 retweets 14 likes
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        17. End of conversation

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