Gonna start a #viruslog thread and limit my virus tweeting to it as much as possible. Looks like we're in this for the long haul. Recommend others do the same unless there's a good reason to tweet stand alone. It'll also be a good set of journals to review when it's all over.
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fwiw I'm specifically thinking of the direct impact of widespread installation of remote/virtual work habits and the effect on business-driven energy consumption. Not generic installation of civic consciousness or collective action ethos or idealistic stuff like that.
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Newspapers should make their virus coverage free... seattle times already did it I think, but LA times isn't doing it... if a random blogger/newsletter guy like me can afford to make most of my writing free, a newspaper should be able to figure it out for public service stuff
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Pandemics are not ergodic. The chances of 100 people catching covid-19 today are not the same as the chances of 1 of those 100 catching it in the next 100 days.
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Stub for linking in Perrow's Normal Accidents model (2 unrelated things combining in a complex system). We haven't yet seen impact of thatCovid-19 is going to be a sustained 18-month "strike 1" and *any* strike 2 will cause normal accidents (wildfire, quakes, extreme weather)
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Thought that occurred to me that will likely occur to a lot of people is: this thing will decimate (as in 10% sense, but perhaps higher) the older boomers and silents. The “glee except for *my* parents and close elders” reaction will be tempting. But the contradiction is telling.
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Whatever your politics on generational demographic/power imbalance in an aging population that’s living longer, thinking of a pandemic as a rebalancing force is dumb at Thanos levels of simplistic meathead politics. Your instinct to treat your parents as exception reveals why
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Humans evolved to take care of elderly for complex reasons and it shows up as instinct to look out for one’s own parents. The previous generation is your future. You’ll likely live longer than today’s 70+ crowd. What you do today for them is what will be done for you in 30 years.
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Trying to get ahead of the inevitable macabre/dank anti-boomer glee narrative. If I can think this thought others can likely go nuts with it.
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Thread on older contagion reads, movies etc https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1237559771655356416?s=21 …https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1237559771655356416 …
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‘The message from the federal government was blunt. “What they said on that phone call very clearly was cease and desist to Helen Chu,” Dr. Lindquist remembered. “Stop testing.”’ via
@stratecheryhttps://stratechery.com/2020/zero-trust-information/ …Show this thread -
To be clear this is one thing that can be directly blamed on Trump systematically dismantling/undermining the CDC’s mission for 2+ years. It’s not generic bureaucratic malaise and incompetence. For once Hanlon’s razor does not apply. This is active malice.
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On a more personal front, my office is now on WFH protocol. Kinda ironic that the one year in a decade that I have an actual office to go to, it gets shut down. I was kinda enjoying larping the paycheck life while it lasted.
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I only have a few terry pratchetts left to go, and am saving them up as emergency cheer rations for later. Quarantine escapism is going to be tough.
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Forecasting thread on before/after shifts.https://twitter.com/vgr/status/1237807343972134912 …
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Thread on testing debaclehttps://twitter.com/Laurie_Garrett/status/1237784291872030721 …
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In general, what makes this a narrative collapse is that it is the first true social media pandemic, where the possibility of conducting a global conversation in real time changes what it means to us. This pandemic will be live tweeted in exactly the way Spanish Flu was not.
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End of conversation
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