My new headcanon is that the pneumonia I got in December was this
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Me too! It was horrible and flu like and lasted 3 weeks starting Dec 24.
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Yep +1, and +10 on the numbers only reflecting testing rate, not really infection rate. We saw the 'hidden' community spread in WA on a localized level. Extremely likely that same thing happened worldwide.
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It’s tempting
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I came to this decision earlier today as well. Given how maximally connected we are, how presumably contagious the Wuhan is... it seems highly unlikely to have it sit isolated for so long. I presume it is everywhere and has been since January.
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I have kids and I’m basically sick all the time so who knows
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Yeah, I've been both incredibly fatalistic about this, and you put a pin in it. China wanted to appear "in control". The US wanted to appear "in control", but our free press poked holes in that theory. If neither were as in control as they claimed, then it's already world-wide.
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Which is oddly good news if true, in that the base rate of infected is higher, and thus the percent which are dangerous or fatal lower than currently calculated. Cold-blooded statistical epidemiology counter-factuals, for the dubious win.
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