yeah it's interesting how the media focus is on fatality even though morbidity is probably more relevant since 97% of patients survive (but at what cost?)
-
-
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
The WHO experts who came back from Wuhan on Feb 24 estimate that ~20% of known cases end up in the hospital for weeks, a quarter of which require artificial respiration. https://www.reddit.com/r/China_Flu/comments/fbt49e/the_who_sent_25_international_experts_to_china/ …
#COVIDー19 -
Italy has reported 10% in ICU, 20% hospital. It is very age dependent. Flu rates are about 100x lower in that regard. DDOS on hospitals causes the fatality rate to spike and crowds out everything except cancer treatment from Chinese example.
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
Hospitalization rate stats is probably going to the the best we can get for a while. This comment has the stats for China then links to sources https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/03/02/coronavirus-links-speculation-open-thread/#comment-860357 … Then you can probably cross reference with typical flu hospitalization rate to get a guesstimate
-
just spotted a chart with flu hospitalization rates https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1236064048724299779?s=20 …
This Tweet is unavailable.
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
Honestly, i'm still not sure how to tell apart flu and covid symptoms apart. Second-guessing my every small cough sneeze or headache. The only thing i am certain of is that my hands have never been cleaner.
-
me neither
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
afaict the baseline rates are 50% asynptomatic, 30% mild, 20% severe. But these are pretty misleading because it varies wildly by age and I’ve only seen breakouts for estimate mortality rate, not symptom severity. You might be able to guesstimate though
-
Well the asymptomatic seems hard to take seriously unless they are doing random population sampling, which I don't think anybody is, but yeah, the age variation is the big uncertainty factor. Also comorbidity effects with other conditions (including regular flu)
- Show replies
New conversation -
-
-
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.