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Someone ELI5 this to me pls. Don’t have energy to wade through myself.
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New @The_JOP by @seanjwestwood @SolomonMg @ylelkes shows probabilistic election forecasts like @FiveThirtyEight confuse voters & decrease turnout, mostly among Dems. It’s thorough and innovative experimental behavioral research. A fan thread. (1/n)
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Basically, people, particularly Dems, are less likely to vote if they think their candidate is definitely going to win, and what information they share in their networks influences this perception.
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Ah not a problem this time around then since most dems now seem to think they’ll lose, and trumpies still don’t quite believe they won in 2016 and act like they lost
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