What’s the most important belief you hold where the only evidence for it is 1) people’s answers to survey questions and/or 2) people’s behavior in contrived laboratory experiments?
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Replying to @literalbanana
what evidence do you have that anybody actually forms beliefs on such a basis? I think people mostly form beliefs based on magical thinking, and then decorate them with survey results or lab results. It's a kind of performance art.
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Replying to @vgr
I’m asking about the beliefs - I don’t know what kind of answers I’m going to get yet, or I wouldn’t ask!
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Replying to @literalbanana @vgr
you’re right that trying to do mental gymnastics to imagine a biography for a belief is part of the exercise
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Replying to @literalbanana
Hmm... maybe beliefs like a survey on vegetarian/vegan self identification or pure sensory tests like response speed to flashing images (I assume we're talking mostly of social psych type stuff, not general beliefs like speed of light)
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Replying to @vgr @literalbanana
More shaky stuff, I don't think belief is even the right word for how I hold certain propositions. I "entertain" them seriously is more like it. Like say ego depletion or power poses. Having them falsified does not disturb me the way discovering that the earth is flat would.
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Replying to @vgr
oh man once I watched someone find out in her late 20s that her childhood family dog didn’t really go to live on a farm
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lol, yeah that that would be traumatizing. A lot of such things fall into the category of wishful thinking etc. "I *hope* it wasn't my friend who took the money from my wallet and it was a stranger even though they had the most means/motive/opportunity"
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