Conversation

The Bernie story feels kinda like matrix sequel. The shock value of the original (Trump) shattering of normalcy is gone. One way it another it’s 4 more years of populist winter. Politics is now officially the B-plot of the Great Weirding.
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I’ll be voting Warren in primary and any democrat over Trump in main. I expect outcome to be: 55% Trump re-elected, 25% Bernie wins nom and beats Trump, 20% someone else wins nom and beats Trump. So 80% probability of 4 more years of populism.
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Bernie over Trump because though his stated ideology is as scary, he seems decent enough to listen to people who disagree, and not let either pure ideologies or pure grifters run amok.
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Either way, expectations of politics 2020-24: 55% emboldened and worse near-fascism, 25% marginally better thanks to better personal integrity at top with reversed polarity socialist populism, 20% lame failed attempt to return to 2015 technocratism that will be mostly harmless.
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Replying to
Thank goodness, the old act was getting old. But we're going to need something really good to top the current main even. We just need something more and more extreme to keep entertained. Maybe climate change will live up to its hype next.
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It doesn’t work that way. Politics is ALWAYS in the driving seat. Only question is what issues does politics make salient. It won’t be Covid19; it will be “what does our team want do (vaguely related to Covid19)”.
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