I think Covid-19 will do to global public health what Fukushima did to global nuclear power (basically shut down the nuclear power element in energy transition/climate action policy... Germany reversed course and many dominoes fell)
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Long-term effects:
- depress global air travel
- drive down live events
- slow any densification trends
- accelerate dematerialization (atoms move = bugs move)
- slow rent-over-own/SaaS economy
- pump up domestic cozy and DIY
- Boost local economics
- slow climate action
densification is critical for climate action. Humans use far less energy per capita living densely.
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The DIY component is interesting. I set triggers for phrases around the bio-diy area last week.
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Also:
- spawn even wilder conspiracy theories ever wider
- make China double down on its repression and surveillance
- speed up rethink of global supply chains/logistics
- boost remote working
- fracturing of the WHO and possibly other UN agencies
- increase travel restrictions
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