Conversation

Poll: How serious do you think Covid19/Coronavirus will have been by the time we’re done, relative to regular cold/flu seasons? Calibration: regular cold/flu season kills about 60k/y in US, ~0.5m globally (less than 0.01%)
  • Blip in cold/flu season
    21.6%
  • Worse than cold/flu
    34.5%
  • 10x worse than cold/flu
    34.5%
  • 1918 Spanish flu: 1%, 50m
    9.4%
638 votesFinal results
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Replying to
i just can’t shake the feeling that the public markets would be imploding by now if there was any rational reason to guess at catastrophe
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