Not betting odds but metaculus has it at 55%https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3513/if-trump-loses-the-election-will-he-contest-the-results/ …
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Put me down for $10 on Seth
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P(that given that he loses the election) = 1
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*high*
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*very*
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Part of me thinks Trump might be relieved to lose and for this all to be over. Seems like there are far greater opportunities to line his pockets as an ex-president, with far less scrutiny Guess maybe it can be distilled to: does he value power or money more? I'd guess $ but

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Possible way that plays out: stomping and screaming from the sidelines on Fox (and perhaps his own Trump media network) without trying to *actually* force a favorable electoral outcome
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He could give himself a third term like Bloomberg did
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Pretty good odds actually. But this is predicated on Trump actually losing of which I’m unsure of...
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