I have domestic competition in the meme coining game. My wife called this winter “the great sickening”. Even without coronavirus this feels like the sickest season in a very long time. As long as I can remember in fact.
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Replying to @vgr
Same in London and Brussels -- too warm and everybody's constantly sick since November.
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Replying to @TheAnnaGat @vgr
Weirdly we have lower flu rates this year in the UK.pic.twitter.com/WUjDue7YMm
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Replying to @epithetos @TheAnnaGat
also where did you get this graph? I've been looking for one like this for the US and couldn't find one
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Replying to @vgr @TheAnnaGat1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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Replying to @epithetos @TheAnnaGat
I don't quite get how to read this graph. Is number of specimens somehow normalized against changing sampling rates? It doesn't seem to be rate of infection directly (ie infections/1000 or something)
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Replying to @vgr @TheAnnaGat
You're correct. I think the intended use is to predict next year's dominant strain to help design the vaccine. My hope is that in western countries the surveillance rate is approximately constant. It could very well not be though.
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I imagine they sample some constant fraction of those who show up at certain facilities with symptoms.
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