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1989 : 1992 :: 2016 : 2020. You need a positive force as big as the internet to overwhelm the shitshow 1-2 punch that was getting lined up back then and us lining up now. The shitshow scenario still played out in former-USSR/Eastern Europe but the positive story overwhelmed it.
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Replying to @vgr
What are the best case scenarios?
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We’re still talking about the US election, right? You’re saying there’s a parallel between Bush Sr getting elected and Trump getting elected? And/or between Bill Clinton and, uh, Bernie Sanders?
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Yes and yes, but remember this is an election fraught with global significance not just the US. The US is Punxsutawney. The presidential election is the groundhog looking at his shadow. The world historical outlook for 2020s = “6 more weeks of winter” question.