When you get near 100% confident in a belief, you internalize it, which means it sinks into the unconscious. To hold a belief consciously is to hold it with non-trivial amounts of doubt. The doubt level of stuff you say tends to be matched. We rarely mix confidence levels.
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Null hypothesis: they are in denial about actual doubt level because they have a lot riding on the belief. Alt hypothesis: they know something you don’t, and haven’t revealed it yet. Perhaps even to themselves. (assuming they’re not merely mistaken or dunning-krugered)
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