Returns (ROI) to hedgehogging!
-
-
Replying to @josephkelly @TaylorPearsonMe
Actually it could go either fox or hedgehog or what
@JoeEdelman calls turtles. The key is to stay in a compounding interest epistemic bunnytrail for long enough, not the cognitive style. Fox = make 100 pots Hedgehog = make the best pot3 replies 0 retweets 2 likes -
Replying to @vgr @josephkelly and
I think
@josephkelly is on to something here. The key to being an effective hedgehog (vs cactus) is the open-ended way that the hedgehog pursues the singular wild idea. The key to being an effective fox is not volume of ideas, but skillful curation of ideas.1 reply 1 retweet 2 likes -
Replying to @bhudgeons @vgr and
And this assumes ergodicity. Only ergodic challenges can be met by either a fox or a hedgehog. If non-ergotic, it is probably better suited to one or the other.
1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes -
Tagging the right Joe Edelman
@edelwax this time and untagging the wrong one. I think Joe's turtle archetype refactors the right bits of fox and hedgehog into one actually https://www.notion.so/Turtleocracy-47a6df7692bf4e95a39504a73a50a295 … so you could say we're talking 2 flavors of turtle1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes -
Replying to @vgr @bhudgeons and
I think of hedgehogs over long time horizons as people with a pet theory for which they seek confirmation/disconfirmation over time, with a scientific mindset of quality dependent on talent ranging from crackpot to effective. INTJs trying to build a theory of everything for eg
1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes -
Replying to @vgr @bhudgeons and
Foxes over a long horizon otoh are more like training a pattern recognition for long-term patterns, placing small bets along the way, and doubling down on the ones that pay off.
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @vgr @bhudgeons and
So I think ergodicity applies more to foxes than hedgehogs here, because hedgehogs have a more totalizing/systematizing filter that creates a kind of tunnel vision. Taleb has elements of both hedgehog and fox turtleness.
2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes -
Replying to @vgr @josephkelly and
If the challenge is perfectly ergodic, the fox (n pots over time t) and hedgehog (1 great pot in time t) strategy should be equivalent for effective hedgehogs (pursuing open-ended enough, ie not cactus) and effective foxes (good curation/pattern recognition, ie not weasels)
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @bhudgeons @vgr and
Either strategy requires "turtleness," or they turn into cacti / weasels.
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
"Open-ended enough" is the key phrase there. The constraint of totalizing framework AND open-ended enough is kinda hard to meet. I'm reminded of Von Neumann's work on open-ended evolution in cellular automata, which showed that you need a noise input.
-
-
Replying to @vgr @bhudgeons and
If I were to wade into this, I'd make distinctions between theory-hedgehogs, value-hedgehogs, and ideological-commitment-hedgehogs. T-hogs are crackpots; V-hogs turtles; I-hogs, zealots.pic.twitter.com/5e1I3rXvIk
0 replies 0 retweets 2 likesThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.