Epistemic status: searching for truthiness
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On Tuesday, warden executes the prisoner, who is very surprised.
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I still haven’t come up with a satisfying account of this paradox. It’s a bit like the Monty hall problem in time
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Ah sounds like it’s called the unexpected hanging paradox in the literature. I’d like a less contrived example. Like people being genuinely surprised when Trump won, even though it was a formal possibility all along. I think that maps here somehow. https://twitter.com/mreliwjones/status/1216891689660489729?s=21 …https://twitter.com/mreliwjones/status/1216891689660489729 …
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