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If you ever release a “simplified form” of an idea for ease of illustration, but it gets traction, people will forget all caveats and use it in place of full form, and complain loudly when it fails. The OODA loop is a good example. My double-freytag model is another. Never ELI5.
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This is what I suspect happened w/ "wash your hands, germs are bad" thing. On margins, washing hands saved children's lives was a good thing, despite the troublesome results of what is described in the hygiene hypothesis. Stuff like this ends up overcorrecting. Sometimes ELI5?
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Not sure. I've been modeling it in my head as populations of ELI5 theories that compete with each other to try and balance out. In my head it ties into the 'leaky abstractions' ideas you were talking about at one point.
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