Things I think are being "retired" by the Web 3.0 blade runners: PHP/LAMP stack, WordPress, likely old-UX facebook (pre outcome of pivot to encrypted/group-based they're trying now)
Kudos to twitter for being one of the few things that seems to be leaping across the 2-3 gap
Conversation
Mastodon is a ??? in my head. It's a blend of this 3.0 stuff, plus elements that look like they're from the distant blockchainy future 10 years out
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Shit, wish I had time to step back and think about this whole thing carefully at a trend level... the last 2 times I did that (big data ~2012 via a CSC project and web 2.0 itself ~2007 at xerox) I had the luxury of a funded research project... something very complex is going on
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Machine learning fits in here somewhere, but I'm not entirely sure how.
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Hmm... what's happening now is actually what I called out in 2012 in this August 2010 blog post which is equal parts prescient and cringe given what I knew at the time. None of the products I cite, including my own, has survived, but we saw this coming.
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Oddly enough, though a core piece of it (React) came out of mobile imperatives, none of this is mobile-centric. It's almost as if heavy apps and a mobile-centric experience are missing from the equation. This is a browser-level renaissance.
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If I tentatively tag "something something blockchain" as the 4.0 era starting ~2025-30, I *do* not mean things that look like crypto/blockchain ideological visions of today. I mean something built out of the parts being tested today via trial and error.
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Specifically, I do *not* think we're headed to a p2p utopia of Sovereign Individuals. Ideologues with that bent who vaguely sealion me every time I tweet about this stuff remind me strongly of SemWeb/OWL ideologues from early aughts.
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Specifically, the ways in which SemWeb-flavored ideas are actually finally making their way into production web (ht ) don't look at all like the visions the ideologues were painting circa 2004-09. Something similar is going to happen to blockchain/decentralized web
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Urbit people go away 😆
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Replying to
I should add, something something logs/event stream processing as a low-level organizing abstraction has something here. Web 2.0 was basically inaugurated by IE enabling the AJAX pattern. Something kinda at that level of enablement seems to be happening.
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