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62. The most deeply subversive political skill is learning to see what’s real about other people, 1 at a time, not what’s fake about them, 1000 at a time. Learning to see the fakeness at scale wins you elections, learning to see unscalable realness wins you history
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63. You can win elections and lose history, and vice versa, or win both, or lose both. Winning history matters much more than winning elections.
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64. Politics is always a choice between competing bets on the past masquerading as bets on the future, and you should bet on the weakest such bet
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65. Star Trek is the best political universe but most humans are either too smart or too stupid to live in it. Mostly the latter.
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66. The global political future is headed for Fireflyverse: globalized, aestheticized, romanticized, sanitized, sentimentalized post-civil-war American south with Chinese characteristics. Where stupid people will be sustainably miserable.
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Okay good place to hit pause. Act 3 within the next week. Suggestions for topics I haven’t yet touched welcome.
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68. Big-tent-leftist-causes approach to climate are a bad idea both pragmatically and ideologically. It's a surgical cause. [Gonna slow-walk my own thread as a sort of threadapalooza median-pace-setting mechanism, and and add an opinion for every dozen or so I see float by]
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69. Horseshoe theory is only applicable to hedgehogs and it is the primary hedgehog political derangement disease
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horseshoe theory is the idea that the far left/far right are very similar believers are likely to flip through between them due to personal crises. My claim is that this tendency is characteristic of hedgehog minds ("knows one big thing"), not fox ("knows many things")