A.
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It’s basically impossible here too, unless you’re very clever
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Depends on who we're optimizing for. Surely, the global EV is higher in A, since false negatives in A are very costly ($B cos not created), while false positives in B merely waste a few
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Goals for a startup may change as the idea evolves. If we are talking about the goals of an investor then B seems to be the rational choice..
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Doesn't matter. It's self-correcting.
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Not for the people who get burned
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emotionally, i want to lean into B. what's the point of doing it if you're not aiming to change the world?
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$Billion scale is not an appropriate solution to every market demand. There is room for small and mid sized startups targeted to capitalize on niche opportunities. Unicorn obsession bloats many new companies that, with more tempered growth strategies, may have thrived.
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Natural consequences for overshooting an opportunity must must be left intact. I think the dilemma for startups is the moonshot vs. legitimate problem paradox. Founders and funders try to grow 10,000x instead of solving real issues go bust.
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