Prediction markets do exactly this, no?
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Not quite, I’m thinking things with the solidity of bonds to which monetary policy could be linked, not individual bets
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Related question. There ought to be some way to "short" western democracy - or do you think it's too late?
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It's called 'bitcoin'
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Closest thing is a cat bond
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Was just gonna post the wikipedia for that. Also, this is related I think - sustainability linked bonds where the yield is linked to specific sustainability-related milestones for the issuer.https://www.energylivenews.com/2019/11/26/prada-proves-green-is-in-this-season-with-e50m-sustainability-linked-loan/ …
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Ping :
@CindyBiSV Remember our convo about financial instruments This is an interesting lead.
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Keep me posted pls


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Yes. It's a huge industry in Las Vegas.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Do you mean yield, or mature? Cat bonds come close (re-insurance).
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Who's on the other side of the trade? For short/med term weather, there are options that serve gas supply hedging, agriculture, and tourism. But for longer terms, and less geographically specific risk (i.e. global temperature) who are the players?
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