In the last year I think I stopped thinking of myself as a writer (always a very uncomfortable fit for me... it’s always been mostly an instrumental behavior for thinking and self-entertainment for me). I think I sometimes write well, but am not primarily a Writer.
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Horse riding was around for thousands of years, took about 1 generation to be turned into behavioral jewelry for the rich. Ditto sword fighting. Lindy effect is a far weaker and more limited argument than the taleban want us to believe.
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Life expectancy of a 80 year old is shorter than than of a 5 yo. But not EVERYONE. Some 5 yo may be sick
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