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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

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Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

Conversational account. For work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian. IKEA builder.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 17 Sep 2019
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    It is really odd that we often forget we don’t actually *know* anything about the future. That’s kinda what makes it the future. The future is that which we know nothing about. Everything we think we know is necessarily some distorted refraction/reflection of the past

    12:00 AM - 17 Sep 2019
    • 13 Retweets
    • 84 Likes
    • Srinath Ponduri Jenn Bonilla James Vaughan •embodied meta carrot & stick• some guy named Paweł Abramowicz, just lurking here Cameron Donson Cook-Gallardo portalnyc Michael Malo Coolerator
    10 replies 13 retweets 84 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Wes‏ @weskerfoot 17 Sep 2019
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        Replying to @vgr

        Channeling David Hume a bit there?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 17 Sep 2019
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        Replying to @weskerfoot

        Maybe a little, though my knowledge of Hume ends at his Wikipedia page 🙂

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. Show replies
      1. Lauren Valdez‏ @TheLaurenValdez 17 Sep 2019
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        Replying to @vgr

        Yes and we live our life trying to anticipate, avoid, and create the future

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      2. Alan Martin‏ @epithetos 17 Sep 2019
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        Replying to @vgr

        Have you given up on psychohistory?

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 17 Sep 2019
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        Replying to @epithetos

        That’s still a key me of history! Says so right on the label

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. The Nightjar‏ @LapsusLima 17 Sep 2019
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        Replying to @vgr

        Your most beautiful tweet yet.

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      1. αlpha-Minus‏ @AlphaMinus2 17 Sep 2019
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        Replying to @vgr

        Hmm you can actually predict somewhat what will happen in the near future, otherwise you wouldn't be able to survive. But the ability drops exponentially the further you look.

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      1. Marek Bernát‏ @mimblewabe 17 Sep 2019
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        Replying to @vgr

        It's the same with the past. We know nothing about it, it's too huge, too hazy. And I'm not talking billions of years, I'm talking hundreds. I'm not even sure what yesterday was about.

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      1. Pirates sleep soundly (for Santa)‏ @Wit_recycler 17 Sep 2019
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        Replying to @vgr

        Is it possible we dont know about future anaomalies rather than future, full stop?

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      1. Henry Vasquez  🌆‏ @hvasquez 17 Sep 2019
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        Replying to @vgr

        Assuming the absence of a single agreed upon reality... The present has 1 x 7.7 billion states. The past has N intervals x ~100 billion states. The (near) future has N intervals x K possible permutations x ~10 billion states.

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