I don’t think it’s just a social effect. There’s an epistemological component. Situationist models have salient local contextual data that might be intractable to make consistent beyond a “it depends” or “case by case” vacuous ensemble consistency.
Yes, so it gets tricky, depending on how exploratory in case space the time behavior is, and what additional sources of invalidation there are besides case variety. So I do think time is probably a richer source of invalidations than case space, but it's not trivial to separate
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My initial skepticism to the proposition came from my sense that for most people "ensemble consistency" actually tends to be "stereotype consistency" across a subset of cases *already* in scope. Like ignoring exceptions you might already know of rather than give up consistency.
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Interesting connection to distributed computing and CAP theorem (consistency, availability, partition tolerance -- pick 2 of 3). Truth maintenance in case space is a distributed computing problem and consistency might be the leg of the triad to fail.
End of conversation
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